Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.002339 0.002471 0.002613 0.002775 0.002958 0.003158 0.003396
2025-05-11 0.002132 0.002312 0.002513 0.002758 0.003053 0.003402 0.003857
2025-05-18 0.002031 0.002248 0.002502 0.002826 0.003240 0.003768 0.004526
2025-05-25 0.001914 0.002149 0.002432 0.002806 0.003307 0.003985 0.005042
2025-06-01 0.001807 0.002050 0.002348 0.002755 0.003319 0.004123 0.005469
2025-06-08 0.001763 0.002023 0.002351 0.002812 0.003481 0.004494 0.006371
2025-06-15 0.001717 0.001989 0.002340 0.002846 0.003611 0.004840 0.007362
2025-06-22 0.001650 0.001924 0.002281 0.002808 0.003624 0.004992 0.008030
2025-06-29 0.001588 0.001861 0.002220 0.002759 0.003612 0.005097 0.008644
2025-07-06 0.001536 0.001809 0.002173 0.002724 0.003619 0.005234 0.009414
2025-07-13 0.001457 0.001717 0.002063 0.002590 0.003449 0.005005 0.009081
2025-07-20 0.001420 0.001681 0.002032 0.002573 0.003472 0.005163 0.009972
2025-07-27 0.001406 0.001676 0.002046 0.002629 0.003635 0.005657 0.012471
2025-08-03 0.001375 0.001647 0.002023 0.002626 0.003693 0.005944 0.014681
2025-08-10 0.001365 0.001647 0.002042 0.002692 0.003890 0.006624 0.020581
2025-08-17 0.001333 0.001615 0.002013 0.002676 0.003924 0.006906 0.025380
2025-08-24 0.001297 0.001574 0.001969 0.002630 0.003894 0.007005 0.029348
2025-08-31 0.001287 0.001571 0.001981 0.002682 0.004072 0.007783 0.053336
2025-09-07 0.001273 0.001561 0.001982 0.002714 0.004212 0.008527 0.143682
2025-09-14 0.001244 0.001529 0.001946 0.002679 0.004198 0.008731 0.413436
2025-09-21 0.001214 0.001495 0.001907 0.002634 0.004157 0.008825 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001189 0.001466 0.001876 0.002602 0.004144 0.009028 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001145 0.001409 0.001796 0.002479 0.003907 0.008260 7.426738